15 Fascinating Oregonians Feature
Forecast: Warming?
By Lisa Baker
For the past 16 years George Taylor has been the state climatologist for Oregon. Taylor
is a faculty member at Oregon State University’s College of Oceanic and Atmospheric
Sciences. He manages the Oregon Climate Service, the state repository of weather and
climate information, and supervises a staff of 10. Taylor is past president of the American
Association of State Climatologists.
Earlier this year a storm of controversy erupted when Taylor forthrightly offered his
scientific opinions on the topic of global warming. For those who accept as near
religious dogma the idea that global warming is caused primarily by human activities,
his comments inspired immediate wrath, and retaliation. Unaccustomed to the attention
and stunned by the level of furor, Taylor was quickly forced to defend his scientific
position, and to his surprise, his job. At least one Democrat senator suggested legislation
that could remove him as state climatologist because his views differ from the governor’s.
For most folks, weather is a safe topic when you’ve nothing else to say or when you want
to avoid having something to say.
But for Oregon’s state climatologist George Taylor, rain patterns, cycles and old musty
records of hot summer days long gone are the stuff of pure fascination. If you have time,
he’ll tell you of climate mapping, where the weather patterns of every half-mile section
of the U.S. are profiled in enough specificity for you to decide whether you dare plant a
hardy banana tree in a certain backyard in Goshen.
For those whose livelihoods depend on the vagaries of weather, Taylor’s information is
like learning the spread before a horse race. No, more like interviewing the jockey.
Better: like interviewing the horse.
If there’s a stat, Taylor has it.
Wanna know if it’s likely to rain on your outdoor September wedding in Corvallis? He’s
got it.
How about if the surf’s going to be good off Nye Beach this weekend? He’s got that, too.
How about whether global warming will melt polar ice caps and turn San Francisco into
the world’s biggest water slide? And if it does, whose fault will it be?
Until a few months ago, George Taylor would have loved that question, the conversation,
the analysis. Now, with so much water under the bridge, he’d rather not talk about, well,
the weather.
How about religion or politics?
These days, Taylor finds himself in the center of the storm over Global Warming. His
opinion — that G.W., if it can be proven to exist beyond cyclical fluctuations in Earth’s
history, is more likely the result of solar activities than greenhouse gases fueled by
human activities — has been labeled nothing short of heresy by some.
Academic freedom, scientific inquiry and freedom of speech aside, the consequences for
such heresy, particularly in “sustainable Oregon” can be severe. Environmentalists are
calling him “dangerous” and the governor (who possesses limited weather credentials)
has considered stripping him of his state climatologist title.
It is a strange thing to Taylor, whose mild-mannered life straddles the clear demarcations
between ideological lifestyles. On the one hand, he’s a granola-eating, bike-to-work
conservationist vegetarian. On the other, he’s a church-going, numbers-crunching
pragmatist who loves country music and is so fond of OSU baseball that he serves as the
team’s go-to guy when they’re deciding whether to wait out the rain or go home.
Until now, his opinions and scientific creds — a master’s in meteorology, a bachelor’s in
math and years as a private consultant — have never been considered dangerous or even
controversial.
Not to say he’s never been contrarian. His move to vegetarianism in his 20s he now
believes was likely, in part, a poke at his father, who owned a wholesale meat business.
At the time, diet was just the beginning. He embraced unemployment, moving into a 6-
by-10 room in a relative’s barn (no electricity or plumbing), grew his hair and his beard,
and rode his bike everywhere. “I just sort of dropped out and forsook a lot of material
things. You could say it was the hippie period in my life. I think it was more of a hermit
existence.”
But then he discovered weather science and found that his analytical skill with numbers
could be put to use in practical ways rather than simply hatching abstract notions.
Suddenly, he says, he found a reason “to come back to the world.”
Gainfully employed, he nevertheless kept the bike and the vegetarian diet — not as
symbolic of anything but simply because they worked for him and still do.
Given a choice, Taylor would love to go back to the days when his name could return to
relative obscurity, when he could give a breezy quote about windstorms or el niño.
“Frankly, I miss the good old days when nobody gave a rip about climate,” he says.
Not that he’s averse to a little excitement, he just prefers that his excitement come in the
form of a surfboard or hiking boots or a sailboat. And even then, it’s a highly planned
adventure — another example of blended ideology — that requires him to check the
data so that he will know whether the waves will be too exciting rather than just exciting
enough.
Some of Taylor’s adventures have been toned down in a barely perceptible nod to middle
age. Marathon running has been moved indoors and replaced by a treadmill, for instance.
At 60, and emerging from a bout with cancer, Taylor has settled into a more reflective
mode where not all things are as they seemed to him years ago, including science. “There
are demands for black and white, yes-no answers, and science has a lot of gray,” he says.
“Scientists know that their science is wrong a lot of the time. In fact, I’m in a field where
we’re wrong, as some say, all the time. I might be right. I might be wrong. It keeps me
humble. I just think to pretend we understand, or that we know, is not always
appropriate.”
BrainstormNW - April 2007
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