Where's the Wealth
Will Wealth Migration from Portland to Vancouver Turn Allies into Rivals?
by Bridgette Lynch
It
is called the Portland-Vancouver Metropolitan Area and it seems to make
perfect sense for two cities so geographically close to be economically
linked together.
Or does
it?
The word
out of Washington is sunshine and smooth sailing—the population
is increasing, jobs are growing and the economic outlook is good. A little
further south, Portland’s message isn’t quite so positive.
Job growth has slowed and the Oregon economy remains weak. But local media
stories about the metropolitan area sometimes blend the Portland-Vancouver
messages together painting a skewed portrait of each city.
Though the
distance between Portland and Vancouver is a mere seven miles, the two
cities are very different. At the most basic level, what divides these
cities—the Columbia River—is also the state line. Portland
and Vancouver are in separate states—meaning they have different
leaders, different constitutions and different laws.
These differences
are inducing some Portlanders to find greener pastures on the Washington
side of the Columbia River. Washington’s more favorable tax laws
are most often cited as a major motivator for Portland’s economic
elite who have decided to make the seven-mile move northward.
Washington
residents do not pay a state income tax and owners of closely held S-corporations
who sell their company or cash out shareholders have a further advantage.
In Oregon, the profits from the sale of an S-corporation are taxable because
they are considered capital gains and fall under the state income tax.
In Washington, the profits would not be taxed.
“If
you are going to sell your business you will save money in Vancouver,”
says Ralph Shaw, president of the Shaw Management Company. “It’s
an onerous tax in Oregon, even if it only happens one time in the life
of a business. Over the past 30 years, a meaningful number of people have
moved to Vancouver for two years, sold their business. Some of them moved
back to Portland, if they wanted to. They escaped paying those taxes.
A number of people decided to stay in Vancouver and that depletes the
most important community leaders.”
The impact
that the departure of high net-worth individuals, and sometimes their
companies, has on Portland is complex. Not only is Oregon’s tax
base diminished, its civic leaders may turn their attention to other Washington
projects, and Oregon cultural and charitable works lose support.
The migration
over the river has been consistent for at least the past 10 years but
has accelerated over the past few years, says John McKibbin, president
and CEO of the Greater Vancouver Chamber of Commerce. Magnet issues include
the tax advantage, the more attentive government structure, and the Vancouver
school system, he says.
“We
still have that small community sense,” McKibbin says. “We
welcome and integrate new people. With so many very successful business
leaders coming this way we want to integrate them into our system and
provide opportunities for them to become a part of our community.”
In 2004,
just over 7,000 Oregonians turned their drivers licenses in to Clark County’s
Department of Motor Vehicles offices. Just over 6,000 did the same in
2003, and just over 5,500 turned theirs in during 2002.
Vancouver’s
business friendly environment and pro-growth attitude have made it one
of the fastest-growing cities in Washington, says Gerald Baugh, Vancouver’s
manager of business development.
The Vancouver
population has grown to about 250,000 people, while Portland counts 550,560
people. The Portland-Vancouver Metropolitan Area has about 1.5 million
people.
“By
moving here, it is a validation that our leadership is working,”
McKibbin says. “Clark County is the fastest growing county in the
state of Washington. Over the past 40 years we’ve experienced a
three percent growth rate and over the past ten years that has increased
to four percent.”
The primary
factor that led writer Gerry Pratt to move to Vancouver was the city’s
livability.
“I
would have moved here regardless of the tax structure,” Pratt says.
“But it is a great motivator for people with large capital gains
and it makes sense. It was the small town synergy and the community aspects
that are hard to find in a large city that drew me here. Vancouver isn’t
an elitist town; there are no social strata. That kind of structure comes
with time—old families and old money. There are wealthy people here
but it hasn’t developed into the social structure of a mature city.”
When Elie
Kassab moved to Vancouver from Portland over 15 years ago, the tax structure
and the school system were key factors in his decision.
“It
was not a difficult choice at all,” says Kassab who is president
of Prestige Development Co. of Vancouver. “When you look at everything
that has happened in Portland since, there is no question. Now the Multnomah
County tax is driving people to Vancouver too.”
“People
aren’t just being pushed out of Portland,” says Steve Burdick,
manager of Vancouver’s Economic Development Services division. “They
are being pulled to Vancouver too.”
In 2004,
18 businesses announced that they would be relocating to Clark County,
says Bart Phillips, president of the Columbia River Economic Development
Council. However, Phillips was unable to say how many of those businesses
were from Portland. So far in 2005, about 14 companies have inquired about
relocation to the area, Phillips says.
One of the
18 businesses that moved to Vancouver in 2004 from Portland was Kokusai
Semiconductor Company. Last June, the company moved 30 jobs in its sales,
marketing and distribution operations to Vancouver.
Roger Qualman,
a senior director at the commercial real estate firm Norris Beggs &
Simpson and chairman of the Greater Vancouver Chamber of Commerce, says
that the decision to move to Vancouver is not as simple as the tax advantage.
“People
make decisions individually. There is no herd instinct at work here. For
one client we might say, you need to be in Portland and here is why; for
another client who has different circumstances we say Vancouver is the
place for you. People are making decisions for their own good reasons—sometimes
their reasons are economic and some times they are entirely different,”
Qualman says.
Qualman
acknowledged the effect that the move of a high-income Portlander can
have on Oregon’s tax base.
“If
an Oregon resident sells their company, they’ll pay Oregon income
tax on the proceeds. But if they move to Washington prior to completion
of the sale, they won’t pay that tax and if it is a big sale that
can mean several million dollars,” Qualman says. “However,
that means that Oregon has lost some well-deserved income if the seller
has made an overt effort to avoid that tax.”
Qualman
stresses that in those situations, it is important to view Portland and
Vancouver as one cohesive market—similar to the relationship between
Hillsboro and Beaverton.
“Though
a move to Vancouver might result in a loss for the Portland area, it’s
important to remember that the health of the region supercedes the health
of one area,” McKibbin says.
Sandra McDonough,
president and CEO of the Portland Business Alliance echoes McKibbin’s
regional focus.
“We
need to think regionally about how we are building an economy. There may
be many motivators to move to Washington and we need to think about the
net gain to the region,” McDonough says. “However, we need
to be sure we are growing and sustaining the region while still maintaining
a strong central city core. We need to look at what motivates people to
move. The unvarnished truth is that Portland and Multnomah County face
taxes that are not present anywhere else in Oregon, let alone Washington.
It is the only place with a business tax and an income tax. We need to
look at those things with a view to the long-term and the survival of
the city and make sure they are the right things to do.”
Though
the regional picture can look fairly rosy, says Daniel Yates, president
and general manager of the Portland Spirit, it is important to note that
Portland has been the last one out of the last five recessions.
“It’s
the fallacy of the regional economy,” Yates says. “With the
explosive growth the region has experienced over the past 10 years, Portland
is still hemorrhaging jobs. In 1990, Portland had something like 135,000
jobs and in 2000 that had dropped to 88,000 jobs. Portland itself is doing
terrible. The only way to hide that is to talk regionally. It’s
time to think locally and try to fix the things we can fix—it’s
important to cooperate regionally, but it can’t be our sole focus.”
A 2003 census
done by the Portland Business Alliance found 82,262 employees in the I-405/I-5
loop that surrounds downtown Portland. The same census done in 2001 counted
86,769 employees in the same area—a two-year loss of 4,507 jobs.
The tax
differentials between Oregon and Washington are the root of the issue,
Yates says. Oregon is a good place to start a business because of its
income tax—if a company is not making money; there is no income
tax to pay. Washington isn’t a good place to incubate a business
because of its business and occupation taxes. But once a company starts
making money, Washington works better because there is no income tax,
Yates says.
“Portland
needs to look at what Portland can do to re-energize or reverse its job
destruction policies and get its budgeting under control,” Yates
says. “By converting to zero-based budgeting or goal-based budgeting,
Portland could eliminate the business income tax and kick start the local
economy.”
Over the
past 10 years, City Hall has had 11 large studies done on the local economy,
Yates says. “They hire a consulting firm and have a study done but
none of the recommendations have even remotely been started,” Yates
says. “City Hall loves avoiding specific fixes.”
Adding to
the problem is the lack of new businesses coming into Portland, says Chuck
Jones, financial advisor with The H Group.
“We’re
scaring them away and we’re not attracting new or expanding businesses,”
Jones says.
Companies
have no incentive to locate to Portland and those that are looking to
expand are disadvantaged to the point that moving is their best option,
Jones says.
“There
is an awful lot of this going on but we don’t hear about it until
it’s done,” Jones says. “The truth is that there is
a sizeable savings to be had by moving to Vancouver or even anywhere outside
Multnomah County, like Columbia Sportswear did by moving to Washington
County.”
Frustration
with Portland’s tax structure and local leadership’s reluctance
to change it is driving the migration across the river, says Larry Rosencrantz,
chairman and CEO of Capital Pacific Bank.
“I
know one individual who was a great community supporter who finally said
‘Look, I’ve just given up hope for change,’ and moved
to Vancouver. People just don’t see a hope for change in the system,”
Rosencrantz says. “For people to make that kind of dramatic shift
in attitude, it really shows that they are giving up. It’s really
rather sad. The problem is that business hasn’t done a good enough
job in telling their story—they just haven’t made their case
about why this system isn’t working. People need to get out of their
offices and participate in the process. Instead they wait until they have
a problem and go to their city councilman and since they haven’t
been involved, the councilman says ‘Who are you?’”
Another
aspect of the problem is how the city views business and the lack of communication
between the two groups, Yates says.
“Our
government thinks that business speaks in one voice,” Yates says.
“They are terrific at appointing a wide range of activists to committees,
but only two business people. Businesses have a broad range of concerns
but they think we all think the same thing. Architecture and law firms
don’t care about trucking issues and vice versa, but they are all
still ‘business.’ They are very clever because they can say
the business community did contribute its opinion, but the reality is
it was a very narrow contribution.”
There is
a clear need for tax reform in Oregon, and Portland businesses moving
to Vancouver to escape taxes is a prime example of that need, says Randolph
Miller, chairman of The Moore Company.
“Instead
of abandoning Portland, we need to be working to provide responsible solutions
to the problem. Businesses that are creating jobs are hammered by the
tax system and they have a disincentive to stay. We need to fix that problem,”
Miller says. “If you’ve developed your business here [in Portland]
and you ignore what supported that business by moving over the river and
allow the tax base to dwindle, it’s not, in my opinion, a moral
thing to do.”
“I
can’t agree with that,” Jones says. “There is a sizeable
savings for some companies and individuals when they move to Vancouver.
That’s hard to pass up. I talk to CPAs every day and they are encouraging
more and more clients to move because it makes sense for them. It’s
even starting to get to me. If I wasn’t so heavily involved with
downtown Portland, my place would be up for sale. It would be hard to
give up my view of the river, but it could be worth it.”
Portland
city councilman Sam Adams wants to find a way to measure the health of
Portland’s economy separately from the region in order to determine
the best direction for Portland as a city while at the same time bettering
the region.
“Vancouver
and Portland are very linked as a regional economy. In most cases, what
is good for Vancouver is good for Portland and vice versa. But if there
is a capital drain from Portland to Vancouver that’s a problem for
Portland,” Adams says. “If we are losing folks due to our
tax system that is cause for concern, definitely.”
One way
of determining the real cost of Portlanders’ migration to Vancouver
is by defining success and setting benchmarks for Portland’s local
economy, Adams says.
“There
are lots of numbers out there,” Adams says. “We need to scrub
them and make sure they are accurate and telling a story that is holistic
for Portland. We have to be more sophisticated and mindful of the disadvantages
of being in a regional economy and determine what does success mean for
Portland business and Portland families.”
Portland
and Vancouver have at best, an uneasy relationship. They are simultaneously
allies in a regional economy and adversaries vying for residents and business.
The Columbia River Economic Development Council recently published “Top
11 Reasons to Do Business in Clark County Washington,” and seven
out of those 11 reasons listed factors for choosing Vancouver over Portland.
At the same time, the document touted its proximity to Portland’s
downtown and Portland International Airport.
Are they
friends or are they enemies? The best answer is probably both, but that
is also the most difficult line to walk for the two cities. Seven miles
are either too long between neighbors or too short between rivals.
BrainstormNW - March 2005
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